Markets put live odds on everything — rate cuts, elections, tomorrow's weather. Zavit turns them into calibrated intelligence: every position you hold, every venue you trade, and the number the market hasn't priced yet. One terminal.
Kalshi and Polymarket in a single live ledger — every position marked to the venue's own tape, with its trend since you entered. A fill on your phone is on your screen before you've switched apps.
Every venue's tape and order flow, settlement history, and the world's own feeds — model runs, station records, macro prints. The market is one input, not the answer.
Forecasts scored against settlement, every day. Calibration isn't a slide in our deck — it's the product, and it publishes as the live track record.
When our number and the market's disagree by more than the spread, that's an edge — sized against fees, and one tap from execution in the terminal.
Every market where the Zavit number and the venue price disagree by more than it costs to act — sorted by how much.
| Market | Venue | Price | Zavit | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
NYC hits 90° tomorrow KALSHI · HIGHNY | 34¢ | YES | 41% | +7pp |
Hurricane makes US landfall in July KALSHI · HURR-LAND | 18¢ | NO | 12% | +6pp |
Chicago tops 95° this weekend KALSHI · HIGHCHI | 22¢ | YES | 28% | +6pp |
Measurable rain in LA this week KALSHI · RAINLA | 8¢ | NO | 5% | +3pp |
Sports win probabilities CLOSING-LINE CALIBRATED | 61¢ | YES | 68% | AT LAUNCH |
CPI, payrolls, Fed decisions CONSENSUS-PRICED | 58¢ | NO | 51% | AT LAUNCH |
Every Zavit number is a forecast with a paper trail. Each one is scored against settlement — calibration curves and per-market results — and we trade these markets with our own money. The full track record publishes live at launch. Nothing here asks for trust before settlements draw the dots.
Calibration is the one chart a forecaster cannot fake: when we say 70%, it should happen about 70% of the time.
Real curves publish at launch. Until settlements draw the dots, this remains a schematic.
Axes and motion are intentional: the visual makes the promise without inventing a public scoreboard before launch.
The markets we trade ourselves. Model-graded from day one.
NEXTWin probabilities calibrated against closing lines, not narratives.
SOONCPI, payrolls, the Fed — consensus, priced and scored.
SOONPolls are inputs. Settlement is the exam.
SOONThreshold odds with the volatility priced in.
Zavit connects through exchange API keys you create and can revoke in one tap — and withdrawals aren't a thing keys can do, on any venue.
libsodium envelope encryption, decrypted server-side per request, never logged, never in your browser. Revoke purges the ciphertext.
A read-only account can't touch an order endpoint — enforced in the permission layer, not promised in the UI. Trading is a switch you flip.
Per-account and global. Every order passes risk checks and lands in an audit log you can read against your exchange statement.
The terminal asks for the exchange key only after you understand what it can and cannot do. The walkthrough covers Kalshi and Polymarket on phone and web.
Access opens in waves. The list gets the terminal first — and the Zavit number with it.